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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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COUNTYThriving

Ventura County, CA

Thriving overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score68out of 100
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83
63
44
65
92

Population

837,469

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+6.3% YoY

83

$69.6B

Output changed +6.3% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.8%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

63

3.9%

Unemployment is 3.9% for May 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg5.2%
U.S. avg4.2%

Population

-1.0% 5-year

44

837,469

Population moved -1.0% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population39,287,377
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

65

25.3%

Median rent consumes 25.3% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$2.0K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$7.1K per resident

92

$6.0B

$6.0B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$485.6B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$6.0B

$7.1K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$4.0B
2. Department of Defense$1.5B
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$426.1M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. AEROVIRONMENT, INC$495.2M
2. NORTHROP GRUMMAN SYSTEMS CORPORATION$107.7M
3. CLARK CONSTRUCTION GROUP - CALIFORNIA, LP$107.0M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

25.3%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,900
2BR estimate$2,502
Median income$109,797
Median home value$822,700

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

837,469

Median age

39.6

Bachelor's degree+

36.1%

Poverty rate

9.3%

Labor force participation

64.3%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.2%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.1%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

May 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-07-16

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-0.2%

GDP CAGR

+5.2%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020845,599
2021845,255
2022842,009
2023838,259
2024837,469
GDP (5 years)
2020$53.9B
2021$58.5B
2022$62.5B
2023$65.5B
2024$69.6B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024837,469
2025834,741 *
2026832,416 *

R² = 93.8% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$69.6B
2025$73.5B *
2026$77.3B *

R² = 99.5% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$109,797/yr
Median rent$2,317/mo
Rent share of income25.3%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$49,920/yr
Mortgage share of income45.5%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate3.9%
State avg5.2%
U.S. avg4.2%
Labor force participation64.3%
Poverty rate9.3%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. May 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$822,700
Median monthly rent$2,317
Price-to-rent ratio29.6x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score66/100
Economic growth83/100
Labor market63/100
Population momentum44/100
Overall stability68/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Ventura County, California

County

Part of

Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA

Nearby locations

Santa Paula, CASaticoy, CAEl Rio, CAOjai, CASan Buenaventura (Ventura), CA