Skip to main content
  1. United States
  2. /
  3. TN
  4. /
  5. Shelby County, TN

EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

Saved
COUNTYStable

Shelby County, TN

Stable overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

Post on XLinkedIn
Overall score61out of 100
Compare
61
56
39
68
90

Population

919,173

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+3.2% YoY

61

$88.4B

Output changed +3.2% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.6%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

56

4.4%

Unemployment is 4.4% for March 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg3.6%
U.S. avg4.3%

Population

-1.9% 5-year

39

919,173

Population moved -1.9% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population7,066,383
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

68

23.2%

Median rent consumes 23.2% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.2K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$6.9K per resident

90

$6.4B

$6.4B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$121.4B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$6.4B

$6.9K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Social Security Administration$4.0B
2. Department of Defense$680.4M
3. Department of Veterans Affairs$594.7M

Top recipients

Dollars
1. FEDERAL EXPRESS CORPORATION$337.5M
2. ST JUDE CHILDREN'S RESEARCH HOSPITAL INC$138.0M
3. MEMPHIS HOUSING AUTHORITY$119.1M

Affordable

Housing Affordability

23.2%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,010
2BR estimate$1,331
Median income$63,767
Median home value$249,100

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

919,173

Median age

35.9

Bachelor's degree+

34.3%

Poverty rate

17.8%

Labor force participation

64.7%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.7%

U.S. GDP YoY

+6.0%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

March 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-05-25

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-0.4%

GDP CAGR

+5.4%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020936,611
2021929,178
2022926,440
2023922,195
2024919,173
GDP (5 years)
2020$67.9B
2021$75.4B
2022$80.1B
2023$85.7B
2024$88.4B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024919,173
2025914,162 *
2026909,976 *

R² = 96.6% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$88.4B
2025$94.9B *
2026$100.0B *

R² = 97.7% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$63,767/yr
Median rent$1,232/mo
Rent share of income23.2%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$15,115/yr
Mortgage share of income23.7%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate4.4%
State avg3.6%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation64.7%
Poverty rate17.8%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. March 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$249,100
Median monthly rent$1,232
Price-to-rent ratio16.8x

Moderate price-to-rent ratio — buying and renting are roughly balanced in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateModerate
Composite score55/100
Economic growth61/100
Labor market56/100
Population momentum39/100
Overall stability61/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Shelby County, Tennessee

County

Part of

Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Nearby locations

Bartlett, TNMemphis, TNGermantown, TNMillington, TNLakeland, TN