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EconPulse

Local economy signal dashboard

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COUNTYThriving

Arlington County, VA

Thriving overall. Federal Funds is the clearest support signal, while population needs the most attention. Housing reads as affordable for a median-income household.

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Overall score73out of 100
Compare
71
78
50
73
100

Population

236,254

Data freshness

Unknown

GDP / Output

+4.6% YoY

71

$49.1B

Output changed +4.6% in 2024.

Vintage date unknown

State growth5.4%
U.S. growth5.3%

Jobs

Unemployment rate

78

2.9%

Unemployment is 2.9% for April 2026.

Vintage date unknown

State avg3.8%
U.S. avg4.3%

Population

-0.1% 5-year

50

236,254

Population moved -0.1% over the latest ACS window.

Vintage date unknown

State population8,705,170
U.S. population334,922,499

Housing

Rent share of income

73

19.6%

Median rent consumes 19.6% of median household income: Affordable.

Vintage date unknown

State rent$1.6K
U.S. rent$1.4K
HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

Federal Funds

$95.4K per resident

100

$22.8B

$22.8B in federal obligations flowed here in FY2025.

Vintage date unknown

State total$214.1B
U.S. total$5.3T

Population and output

Trend Snapshot

Reported share

Industry Breakdown

FY2025

Federal Money

Federal obligations

$22.8B

$95.4K per resident in reported federal flow.

Top agencies

Dollars
1. Department of Defense$8.0B
2. Department of Health and Human Services$8.0B
3. General Services Administration$1.6B

Top recipients

Dollars
1. LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION$3.5B
2. ACCENTURE FEDERAL SERVICES LLC$1.8B
3. DELOITTE CONSULTING LLP$1.1B

Affordable

Housing Affordability

19.6%

of median income

1BR estimate$1,904
2BR estimate$2,508
Median income$142,114
Median home value$895,000

ACS context

Quick Facts

Population

236,254

Median age

35.5

Bachelor's degree+

77.1%

Poverty rate

7.4%

Labor force participation

77.3%

Prime rate

6.8%

CPI YoY

+3.9%

U.S. GDP YoY

+5.9%

Sources and warnings

Data Provenance

Census ACS 5-year

2024

BLS LAUS / CPS

April 2026

BEA regional CAGDP1

2024

USAspending

FY2025

FRED

2026-06-10

HUD Fair Market Rent

Latest available

Data notes
  • HUD_API_TOKEN missing; ACS median gross rent is used as the housing affordability fallback.

5-year compound growth

Historical Trends

Population CAGR

-0.0%

GDP CAGR

+5.2%

Federal flow

5 years

Population (5 years)
2020236,434
2021235,764
2022235,845
2023235,463
2024236,254
GDP (5 years)
2020$38.2B
2021$41.0B
2022$42.3B
2023$46.9B
2024$49.1B

2-year linear forecast

Predictive Outlook

Population forecast

2024236,254
2025235,754 *
2026235,688 *

R² = 7.2% · * projected

GDP forecast

2024$49.1B
2025$51.8B *
2026$54.6B *

R² = 97.6% · * projected

Linear regression over available historical data. Projections are estimates based on past trends and do not account for policy changes, economic shocks, or other external factors.

housing affordability breakdown

Cost of Living

Median household income$142,114/yr
Median rent$2,322/mo
Rent share of income19.6%
Est. mortgage (30yr, 6.5%)$54,307/yr
Mortgage share of income38.2%

Rent data from Census ACS 5-year. Mortgage estimate assumes 20% down, 6.5% APR, 30-year fixed.

employment snapshot

Job Market

Unemployment rate2.9%
State avg3.8%
U.S. avg4.3%
Labor force participation77.3%
Poverty rate7.4%

Data from BLS LAUS / CPS. April 2026.

valuation snapshot

Real Estate

Median home value$895,000
Median monthly rent$2,322
Price-to-rent ratio32.1x

High price-to-rent ratio — renting may be more economical than buying in this market.

composite score

Investment Climate

Investment climateStrong
Composite score69/100
Economic growth71/100
Labor market78/100
Population momentum50/100
Overall stability73/100

Composite score weighs economic growth, labor market health, population momentum, and overall stability. Not financial advice.

Location Context

Arlington County, Virginia

County

Part of

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Nearby locations

Arlington, VASeven Corners, VABailey's Crossroads, VALake Barcroft, VAFalls Church, VA